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A
WORD FROM THE EDITOR
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Dear visitor and international
investor,
We
warmly welcome you, if this is
your first visit to Africabiz
Online - The ultimate newsletter
on trading and investing in 49
sub-Saharan African countries.
If you are a regular and faithful
reader, welcome back.
If you are a regular and faithful reader, welcome back.
THIS DELIVERY STANDS FOR TWO
ISSUES
We are taking one month break from September 1 to September
30. This delivery therefore covers two months August
15 to September 14; and September 15 to October 14.
The next issue will be online on October 15, 2001.
CASE STUDY ON HOW TO REACH
DOUBLE DIGIT ANNUAL ECONOMIC GROWTH RATE
Month after month we have demonstrated here in AFRICABIZ
ONLINE, that, contrary to the common belief, Africa
is the only virgin territory left over for high Return
On Investment (ROI). In fact the highest in the world.
We produced the following analysis:
-
1 - Strategy for African Countries. Available
here.
- 2 - Is Africa doomed? The African Challenge.
Available here.
- 3 - Income building power for an African
community. Available here.
- 4 - Less than 10% annual growth rate?
That's peanuts for an emerging country. Available
here.
- 5 - The collapse of Mozambique cashew
nut industry. Are the IMF and the World Bank the
only guilty ones? Available here
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To give flesh to our demonstration we have also, in
several deliveries of AFRICABIZ Monthly Issue,
introduced you to documented business opportunities,
which are components of The Strategy for African Countries; capable of triggering the "Synergetic
Impact Factor" here
available.
Some of these "economic catalyst" operations
are capital intensive; others are labor intensive and
for small entrepreneurs. We have introduced you particularly
to the following business opportunities with high profit
making potential:
a-
SHEA BUTTER (Issues 5,
6,
7,
11,
12,
13)
b- BLUE GOLD (Issues 14,
15,
16,
17,
18,
19)
c- FREEZE-DRIED PAPAIN (Issues 20,
21,
22)
d-
KENAF (Issues 23,
24)
e- VEGETABLE OIL (Issues 25,
26,
27)
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With the series on VEGETABLE OIL, we moved a step further
to demonstrating that these business opportunities,
if well planned and implemented, could act as the perfect
launching pad to helping any emerging African country
to achieve double -digit annual economic growth rate
on a sustained basis for 10 to 20 running years.
The business opportunity reported here
in this delivery is the gist of the Case Study On
How To Reach Double Digit Annual Growth Rate. The
full study is here
available and stands as testimony to why we do strongly
believe in The African Renaissance.
Click
here to review Contributor's
Guidelines. Your contribution is welcome.
Many
thanks for dropping by and see you here on October 15,
2001. We are taking one month break from September 1
to September 30.
Dr. B.M. Quenum
Editor
of AFRICABIZ
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BUSINESS
OPPORTUNITIES IN AFRICA
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EDIBLE AND INDUSTRIAL OILS AS INCOME BUILDING POWER
FOR AN AFRICAN COMMUNITY. PART IV: HOW TO GENERATE DOUBLE
DIGIT ECONOMIC ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
In
issues N° 25,
26
and 27
we exposed an interesting business opportunity
based on edible / industrial oil production combined
with animal breeding (hog fattening). Here we
demonstrate how that opportunity could be used
to boost the global economic development of any
emerging African country. Annual economic growth
rate obtained
through the implementation of a scheme based on
oil production and animal fattening is simply
outstanding. The complete study on "How
to reach double digit annual growth rate"
is here
available..
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Let's
consider for example a network of 10,000 small entrepreneurs
(established over a period of 10 years) involved
in the scheme of oil production combined with hog fattening
as here
exposed. They will need annually (starting from the
tenth year):
- 1 - Sesame seeds: 40 (kg) x 8 (hours)
x 3 (expellers) x26 (days per month) x 12 (months)
x 10,000 (entrepreneurs) = 3,000,000 metric
tons
- 2 - Cereals for animal feed formulation:
4,190,000 metric tons Click
here to see why)
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Please remark that these pretty
huge amounts of sesame seeds and cereals will have a
local consumption base; completely independent from
international market pricing dicta as here
explained.
IMPACT
ON GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
Cereals
and oil seeds crops production levels above mentioned
clearly demonstrate that the scheme here discussed -
based on edible / industrial oil production combined
with animal breeding - is a perfect "economic
catalyst" activity.
Industrial / edible oils produced
by these small scale operations are raw materials for
a string of other industrial productions; such as: soap,
cosmetics, food products, detergents, paints and even
substitutes to petroleum-based lubricants and fuels.
The byproduct / oil meal will help solving the animal
feed problem which exists in most of sub-Saharan African
countries and boost up animal breeding: cattle, goats,
fowls and so forth.
The "Synergetic Impact Factor" of the
scheme here studied - that is to say its inherent
capability to activate and sustain the economic growth
through a dynamic interrelation between activities
of the primary sector (agriculture), secondary sector
(industry) and tertiary sector (services) in a total
fusion - (graphically represented here
) is therefore obvious.
Now we can move a step further to evaluating the impact
of the scheme on the Gross National Product of any implementing
African country.
Under
assumptions here
made Table below lists revenues generated by the scheme's
outputs and the global impact on the Gross National
Product (GNP)::
Revenues
(in red): US $ x 1,000,000
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YEARS
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|
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1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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Oil
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a
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75
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150
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225
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300
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375
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450
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525
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600
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675
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750
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Animal
breeding
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b
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326
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652
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978
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1.304
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1.630
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1.956
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2.282
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2.608
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2.934
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3.260
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Cereals
crops
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c
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474
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947
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1.420
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1.894
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2.368
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2.841
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3.315
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3.788
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4.262
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4.735
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Oil
seeds crops
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d
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204
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408
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612
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816
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1.020
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1.224
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1.428
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1.632
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1.836
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2.040
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Services
(storage, transport,
insurance; etc.)
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e
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486
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971
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1.456
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1.941
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2.427
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2.912
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3.398
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3.883
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4.368
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4.853
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Total
revenues generated by the scheme
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f
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1.565
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3.128
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4.691
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6.255
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7.820
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9.383
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10.948
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12.511
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14.075
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15.638
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GNP
without the scheme
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g
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3.000
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3.150
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3.308
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3.473
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3.647
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3.829
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4.020
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4.221
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4.432
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4.654
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Global
GNP
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h
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4.565
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6.278
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7.999
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9.728
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11.467
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13.212
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14.968
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16.732
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18.507
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20.292
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Resulting
annual Growth Rate
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i
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-
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37.52
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27.41
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22.62
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17.87
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15.21
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13.29
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11.78
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10.60
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9.64
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Line
(i) highlights Professor Moses Abramowitz's Catch
Up Factor and double- digit theory
as here
extensively exposed. Within a span time of
ten years, the initial GNP (year 1 -line g) had
been multiplied by 6.76 - (year 10 -line h)
even without considering any increase of outputs
over years.
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Figures outlined in above table clearly show that the
establishment of a network of small scale oil processing
units - based on nuts, kernels and oil-containing seeds
- and combined with animal breeding (hog fattening),
stands as a perfect "Income
Building Power" operation; labor
intensive and foreign currency provider or saver. Capable
of generating the "Synergetic Impact Factor"
here
available and double digit economic annual growth
rate on a sustained basis for 10 to 20 running years.
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agencies,
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